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Health District: Magic Valley headed toward critical coronavirus risk levels
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Health District: Magic Valley headed toward critical coronavirus risk levels

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Graph 1 Total number of cases by week they were reported from March 8th to October 10th. (Data is organized by the first day of each week and includes cases reported over the next six days. Each bar represents 7 days of ca.JPG

TWIN FALLS — Twin Falls, Cassia and Minidoka counties are headed toward critical levels as COVID-19 cases continue to rise, the health district said Thursday.

The regional hospital status is also critical, as staffing and bed availability has been severely impacted by COVID-19, the South Central Public Health District said.

“Our case trends and the impact we are seeing to our healthcare system is alarming,” said district director Melody Bowyer said in a statement. “If we continue this course we will likely reach critical risk level by next Thursday in several counties.”

Case counts in the rest of the district are also trending upward, with the majority of cases in the region reported in young people ages 18-39 years old.

Since August, cases reported among children ages 5 to 17 in the region have increased dramatically. Two of these cases have developed multisystem inflammatory syndrome (MIS-C), a severe and potentially fatal condition associated with COVID-19.

Graph 3 Percent of total cases by age and county.JPG

“Young people are not immune to this disease. Our concern is that our youth will be infected and pass the disease on to the rest of their household — including their elderly and vulnerable family members,” Bowyer said. “Our investigators have found many individuals who have tested positive recently attended small social gatherings, like sporting events, where they may have accidentally spread the virus.”

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Case counts have recently surged to more than 120 cases reported a day on average across the district. In the last calendar week, Oct. 4 to 10, more than 840 cases were reported. That is more cases than were reported in March and April combined. As cases surge, investigators and close contact tracers are racing to keep up.

Graph 4

“Don’t wait for public health to call you. We are working quickly and expanding our staffing but, in some cases, it still may take a few days to make contact,” Epidemiology Program Manager Tanis Maxwell said. “Don’t wait to reach out. Let your close contacts know as soon as you get your test results so they can quarantine and keep the virus from spreading further.”

Close contacts are people who have spent at least 15 minutes within 6 feet of a person who has a confirmed case of COVID-19. Contact tracing should include people who have had that contact up to two days before symptoms began or someone tested positive for COVID-19. Close contact should quarantine for 14 days starting the day after their last contact with a confirmed case. Individuals who have tested positive should completely isolated for at least 10 days and meet other epidemiological criteria before they leave their home.

“Our case counts are surging beyond anything we’ve seen so far in this pandemic,” Bowyer said. “We need to put our politics and personal differences aside to come together and protect our community.”

Most counties in south central Idaho are currently in the high risk (orange) tier for COVID-19 spread. Among other recommendations, the health district urges all residents in these communities wear masks in public places, take extra precautions at sporting events, limit gatherings to fifty or fewer people, and high-risk individuals take extra precautions to safeguard their health.

A full list of recommendations for both the high (orange) and critical (red) risk levels can be found in the regional risk level plan at phd5.idaho.gov/coronavirus.

Confused about COVID? Real advice from real doctors

We asked the doctors who live in the Magic Valley and see COVID patients here to talk about what is really going on, in their own words.

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It has been horrifying to watch as people who are wearing masks and taking this pandemic seriously get chided for acting responsibly.

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The novel coronavirus that causes COVID-19 has changed so many things about our world, and about my individual world as well. I have patients …

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Even though there are similarities between influenza and COVID-19, there are key differences between the seasonal flu and the new coronavirus.

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The virus is affecting us in a number of ways. We have seen multiple cases within the community and almost all of our clinics are testing pati…

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